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Western Conf


Zz_

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So last season I waited until later in the season to make my predictions. This season though, I will be making one now, and one on December 31st. Now I was full of hope last season that my team would actually show up...Though they tried, injuries would continue and their 2014-15 season would go no where. Regardless, here we are getting ready for the 2015-16 season opener and there are a lot of new faces in a lot of places, so lets talk about the west.

 

Pacific Division:

 

7. Arizona Coyotes - The Coyotes have had it rough for the last several seasons. In 2011-12 the Yotes were kicked out of the Western Conference Final by the Los Angeles Kings, who went on to win the Stanley Cup. Since then, the Coyotes have done nothing but get worse. Last season Arizona finished 7th in the pacific and ended up with the #3 overall pick (Dylan Strome.) Even with the addition of a young and talented Strome, the Coyotes need some serious help. Shane Doan continues to age out of competition but insists on staying with the team, could this be the season he actually leaves at the trade deadline? Even if Mike Smith remembers how to play in goal, Arizona will find themselves in the bottom five of the league once again and 7th again in the Pacific. Could this also possibly see Ekman-Larsson moved for a high price? Or are the Coyotes willing to keep him and pass up on possible prospects, picks or even roster players?

 

6. San Jose Sharks - Many will wonder why I am putting San Jose so low with young talent like Mueller, Hertl, Couture or the older guys like Marleau, Thornton, Pavelski, Burns, etc. They have Stalock and Jones both promising young goaltenders. Why did I put them so low, they had a winning record and finished 5th last season, yes. However, this season there is no room for the Sharks because of who they will be playing. A Ducks team that I feel will win the cup, a Flames team that shows now sign of regression, a revamped Oiler team that has a goalie and confidence and a Canucks team that might just come together, not to forget an LA Kings team that wants to redeem themselves. I could easily have swapped San Jose and Vancouver if San Jose would have been able to come to terms with and keep Neimi.

 

5. Vancouver Canucks - The Canucks have a few up and coming kids that could make an impact this season. My biggest question would have to be the Sedin's. They played well last season and were able to stay healthy, but at that age, back to back 82 game seasons will be hard and I question even with Vrbata staying, how much they will click again this season now that their division is a lot tougher. Ryan Miller needs to find his old form to bring Vancouver back to the playoffs.

 

4. Los Angeles Kings - This one is tough, there are three teams to me that can sit here. Both the Calgary Flames and the Edmonton Oilers could fall here easy. However, I picked the Kings because I just do not see them flying high even with their new adjustments and attitudes to get back to the cup. Lucic is a power horse and a player that likes to get dirty, and yes he might fit the Kings "style" but does he "FIT" will be the question. Quick will be the reason this team finishes higher, he is a work horse that pulls off some amazing games. Christian Ehrhoff will fill in the on the back end where there is still a hole after Voynov's stunt. He wont be making magic,, but he is a solid addition.

 

3. Edmonton Oilers - I choose Edmonton for a few reasons, one is their new found spark with Connor McDavid. The kid is lightening, and will win games for this team. McDavid is who Hall, Nug-Hop and Yakupov were supposed to be. 3 strikes youre out right? Not for Edmonton, they found a fourth chance at life and it will pay off. Edmonton went out and got a guy in Cam Talbot that will win them the games that Scrivens and Fasth let sail free. They also got a few new faces on defense like Reinhart and Sekera, who should help build some confidence on the back. Yes, they have a lot to learn this season, but for once, I do not see them finishing under the top 4 in the Pacific.

 

2. Calgary Flames - Another team that could end up lower, I choose the Flames because of their playoff run. A bunch of kids in Canada tried to be the Avalanche and did better. The difference will be their rebound and learning from Colorado's mistake. The Flames will need to stay healthy and they should find themselves sitting high in the Pacific. The biggest question on this team sits in their goaltending, Hiller seems to only play hockey when he feels like it and Ramo has the consistency of a two years older attention span.... It just isn't there and this far in, I don't know if it ever will be. I love Johnny Gaudreau's leadership, he is a lot like Joe Sakic, he lays it out on the ice and that's that. They added Dougie Hamilton to an already stellar defense, that just got their leader back after losing him in the playoffs. I see amazing things coming out of the Flames, could we see them make a run for the cup in the next few yeas? You Bet.

 

1. Anaheim Ducks - This is a no brainer! Their young goaltender, Fredrick Andersen, was not totally to blame but a big reason they made the exit home last season. His inexperience with winning in the playoffs, not just playoffs but big games cost him some soft goals in a nervous moment. Anaheim added Kevin Bieksa and Carl Hanglin, those two additions add to their already extensive group of talent and says, "Let's win" all over it. However, many of us have already seen this much talent work the other way, plus, how long will Gibson sit on the bench before he wants out of Anaheim if he cannot win the number spot to start the season. Could this cause controversy to the locker room? We will see!

 

Now that is my Pacific Division, I am just making predictions, so if you do not agree please share yours!

 

Central Division - I have my bias!!!!! But this division is tough as hell to break down.

 

7. Dallas Stars - The reason I pick Dallas is due to the goaltending. Neimi and Lethonen are both great, however, Neimi nor Lethonen are back ups and this could cause a conflict. Yes it could work out, but no goalie wants to be number two... They did add Sharpe and Oduya to the line up, both cup winners with the Hawks which could help. They have a lot of power with Benn, Spezza, Seguin, Nichushkin, but someone has to finish last.

 

6. Winnipeg Jets - The Jets had a feel good story last season and it was great to see them make the playoffs. Unless they play Hutchinson from the jump, I do not see the Jets following suit. Pavelec is not a number one goalie and should sit the bench to a more talented kid. Also, Dustin Byfuglien is again in trade rumors all over, does he move? If so, for what? The Jets defense is already pretty skim. Basically all mid-age guys and really you do not see their names a lot and they aren't really known for anything "big." Such as when you here Byfuglien, most people say... "I hope hes not playing tonight, the dude is an animal."

 

5. St. Louis Blues - Their failure in the playoffs is going to begin to get to them at some point and I think this season might just be it. T.J. Oshie is gone, which could be both good and bad. They added Troy Brouwer but they still only have that "one big name" in Tarasanko. Sure, they have Backes and Stastny, but those two cant change a game in a second like Valdimir can, they really lack that second hand in the 1-2-punch. Jake Allen should take over as the number one, if not, Elliott will drive this team into last place in the Central.

 

4. Chicago Blackhawks - I will take heat for this I am sure. The Hawks shipped off Sharpe, Saad, Oduya and could lose Patrick Kane pending his investigation. Corey Crawford got away with luck in the Stanley Cup Final, that luck was a damn good defense that was ale to stop the triplets of Tampa Bay. He made key saves, but he still was in luck, because he is a terrible goaltender. I think if Kane gets away with what he did, Chicago could be in the 3rd place, but I do not see them 1 or 2.....

 

3. Colorado Avalanche - this one is hard for me to swallow and to be honest, the Avs can fall anywhere be 1 and 7 honestly and it all depends on, A) can they stay healthy? Colorado lost and average of SIX starting roster players PER game last season, including their number one goaltender that could not stay healthy. Imagine Chicago losing 6 starting players per game... No way they win the cup and they probably miss the playoffs too, that goes for any team. B) How will the new guys fit in? Who makes the roster? Rantanen, Comeau, Beauchemin, Soderberg, Siemens, Bigras and many more. This team looked different last season and it burned them (excluding injuries) it took a long time or things to click, will they click this season? C) Valamov needs to stay healthy, and Berra needs confidence. You fix A and C alone, the Avs will be top 3, fix all three.... Dog fight for #1...

 

2 - Minnesota Wild - This chaps me, and I cannot deal with the Wild. However, if Dubnyk plays like last season, he wins the Veznia and they take on Anaheim for the Conference Final where they lose. Dubnyk fails like Dubnyk usually does..... Minnesota will be sitting last place... Enough on them, they leave a bad taste in my mouth.

 

1. Nashville Predators - Not a lot to say, they bring back 99% of what they had last season, better health with more experience. No doubt in my mind Rinne, Weber and Forsberg carry this team to the top of the Central. I still do not think they have the fire power up front that they need to win a cup though, yet a healthy Rinne and defense... who needs more than one or two goals?

 

Again, all prediction and yes I am bias to the Avalanche, but make a valid argument that last season was just all sorts of tragic. It is a safe bet to say any team in the Central can make the playoffs and make a deep run, probably the toughest through and through division in the NHL and probably any sport to be honest. Please let me know your predictions!

5 Comments


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PACIFIC:

7. Coyotes. No brainer

6. Canucks. Due for a big fall

5. Oilers. Improved but not this year

4. Sharks. Still trying

3. Kings. In the mix again

2. Flames. Fun team to watch got better

1. Ducks. Best team in Hockey

CENTRAL

7. Avalanche. Did little to improve and lost O'Reilly

6. Jets What goes up must come down

5. Stars. Lots of goals for and against

4. Predators. Don't believe in their centers

3. Wild. See Predators comment

2. Hawks. Don't believe the rumors of their demise

1. Blues. Regular season divas

The Central is so deep and even, every team has a hole but immense talent as well. I could see a case for any team in the division finishing anywhere from first to last.

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PACIFIC:

7. Coyotes. No brainer

6. Canucks. Due for a big fall

5. Oilers. Improved but not this year

4. Sharks. Still trying

3. Kings. In the mix again

2. Flames. Fun team to watch got better

1. Ducks. Best team in Hockey

CENTRAL

7. Avalanche. Did little to improve and lost O'Reilly

6. Jets What goes up must come down

5. Stars. Lots of goals for and against

4. Predators. Don't believe in their centers

3. Wild. See Predators comment

2. Hawks. Don't believe the rumors of their demise

1. Blues. Regular season divas

The Central is so deep and even, every team has a hole but immense talent as well. I could see a case for any team in the division finishing anywhere from first to last.

So here is why I think you are wrong about Colorado.

 

Semyon Varlamov - Healthy and ready to bounce back - he has proven when healthy he is a monster, I do not see him having an injury prone season.

 

Duchene - He is ready to break out, if he and Iginla can work the magic they sputtered with last season, BOOM.

 

Tanguay and Iginla - finally found their chemistry again and I doubt it take 40+ games for them to get back into it again.

 

Mikko Rantanen - he is a HUGE sleeper, I see this kid lighting fire after he proves he is a top 6 guy. Put him with MacKinnon, I can see Mack dumping 75+ points easy with this kid.

 

Bigras - If he doesn't make the roster  I will be shocked, He is primed and ready giving the Avs 6 pretty darn good solid defense on the back.

 

Berra - wont lose the fight to Pickard this season and will be a solid back up that he started the season as.

 

I cannot see the Avs dropping below 5th in a very tough Central. I don't see St. Louis #1 either. Just wont happen.

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I'm gonna keep this kind of short, cause we could debate this topic for a long time if we wanted to.

 

Pacific:

I agree that the Flames probably won't regress like the Avs did last year, but I don't think they will finish 2nd in the Pacific. The Flames will make the playoffs, but they are surely not as talented as the Kings. I also think that you are a little short on the Sharks (I'm trying not to show my bias here). I think Martin Jones will have his struggles this year, but I think he will be as good as Niemi was last year, which "almost"made the playoffs. I also think the Canucks are a fading team.

 

7. Arizona

6. Vancouver

5. Oilers (I agree they are not quite there yet)

4. Sharks*

3. Calgary

2. Los Angeles

1. Anaheim

 

Central:

You really think a goalie tandem of Lehtonen and Niemi is worse than the Jets? I can't agree with that. I agree that there will be some issues with the goalies in Dallas, I also think they are professionals, and they will get the job done. Also, the Dallas offense might be one of the strongest in the league. I can't agree that they will be in last place in the Central. I also don't think the Avs will be in the top three. They regressed last year, and didn't improve their roster very much. I also don't see the Jets returning to the playoffs. The Blackhawks are still the best team in the division, but they never win it. I don't see them winning the Central again this year. And I still don't trust Dubnyk in Minnesota.

 

Keep in mind, all of these teams will be in contention for a good part of the season.

 

7. Lose-a-peg (Sorry, I couldn't resist)

6. Colorado

5. Minnesota

4. Nashville*

3. Dallas

2. Chicago

1. St. Louis

 

*Wild Card teams

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Also, keep in mind that the Blues goalies aren't actually that bad. I know they have struggles in the playoffs lately (like the whole team), but Brian Elliot has probably been the best goalie that no one talks about over the last two season. And you have to keep in mind that he has had to deal with management giving his spot to pretty much anyone who wanted it (Jake Allen, Ryan Miller, Jaro Halak).

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I'm gonna keep this kind of short, cause we could debate this topic for a long time if we wanted to.

 

Pacific:

I agree that the Flames probably won't regress like the Avs did last year, but I don't think they will finish 2nd in the Pacific. The Flames will make the playoffs, but they are surely not as talented as the Kings. I also think that you are a little short on the Sharks (I'm trying not to show my bias here). I think Martin Jones will have his struggles this year, but I think he will be as good as Niemi was last year, which "almost"made the playoffs. I also think the Canucks are a fading team.

 

7. Arizona

6. Vancouver

5. Oilers (I agree they are not quite there yet)

4. Sharks*

3. Calgary

2. Los Angeles

1. Anaheim

 

Central:

You really think a goalie tandem of Lehtonen and Niemi is worse than the Jets? I can't agree with that. I agree that there will be some issues with the goalies in Dallas, I also think they are professionals, and they will get the job done. Also, the Dallas offense might be one of the strongest in the league. I can't agree that they will be in last place in the Central. I also don't think the Avs will be in the top three. They regressed last year, and didn't improve their roster very much. I also don't see the Jets returning to the playoffs. The Blackhawks are still the best team in the division, but they never win it. I don't see them winning the Central again this year. And I still don't trust Dubnyk in Minnesota.

 

Keep in mind, all of these teams will be in contention for a good part of the season.

 

7. Lose-a-peg (Sorry, I couldn't resist)

6. Colorado

5. Minnesota

4. Nashville*

3. Dallas

2. Chicago

1. St. Louis

 

*Wild Card teams

Alright, I am going to try not to be an a** but I seem to come off that way, and do not take it to heart.

 

I love the everyone continues to say, "The Avs have done nothing to make their roster better from last season." Now lets look at this, the Colorado Avalanche lost an AVERAGE of SIX**** starting players PER game last season! 6 in 82 games. Ok so that is roughly 492 games lost amongst a team of VERY young players. Mind you MOST of their "Star" players were intact for majority of the season, they lost Erik Johnson for 35 games, Nathan MacKinnon 18 games, Semyon Varlamov (Unsure on how "many" he missed but lets say about 10. Not to mention Jesse Winchester did not play a single game (PK guy) - Patrick Bordeleau (Who I do not care for) missed 81 games (enforcer). These are key parts of this team, Stastny and OReilly did not run the show by themselves in 2013-14 or 14-15 did they contribute? Hell yes they did, but we have replaced them, maybe Iginla is not as young as he once was, but lead the Avs with 59 points last season - Stastny had 46 and missed 8 games. He replaced him quite well, both guys on new teams that didn't maybe hit the way they wanted. Both will have a chance to rebound now that they have found a little chemistry.

Ryan OReilly sat with 55 points last season, which is about where O'Reilly is expected to produce. He isn't a top 3 guy, can he play like he is? Yeah I guess, but he is much better 6-9. He had a fantastic 2014-15, but so did the entire team. Replacing him; Carl Soderberd - a little older and has not seen as much NHL action. Do I think he was worth 5M per season? No, but he is a solid 6-9 guy. 48 and 44 points the last two season, I think Soderberg steps in nicely and makes a bang for his buck. The real replacement here though for OReilly is a true winger in Mikko Rantanen! This kid is going to be electric. He was the biggest overlook from picks 3-9, the #1 euro skater in the draft. He scored in the Burgundy vs White game and again against the Anaheim Ducks. Two games two goals by a playmaker. I cannot wait to see this kid work magic in the top 6.

 

Varlamov - He has proven that when he s healthy, he does not need a back up goalie to be perfect. Reto Berra played last night against Calgary http://www.nhl.com/gamecenter/en/boxscore?id=2015010035. No it wasn't their "actual" roster, but he played solid and looked confident, something he has missed since his injury last season in Ottawa. Calvin Pickard has proven he is pretty good and can back up as needed. So three solids in net.

 

Last season 39-31-12 (in 2014-15 we found a way to win those OT/SO games and failed to do so this season.) Add 9 of those 12 to the W section, we tie the Jets for a wild card spot (even though I think the Jets win it.) We also lost a game by 1 goal 24 times, and 15 of those 24 were to playoff teams. Lets say those other 9 Colorado won.... This entire season could have been so much different has MacKinnon,, Varly ad Johnson been healthy all season.

 

So its not a matter making changes and adding players that are "top 3-6" players or top 4 defensemen. It is purely chemistry and health and most people do not see that, except for the two that matter... Sakic and Roy...

 

But that is just how I feel and again a lot of Bias... but yes, I see a Healthy Colorado Avalanche team in the top 3. I still feel like the Blues goaltending is weak, yes they have won both pre-season games by a good amount of goal scoring... I just do not think it will hold. As for the goaltending in Dallas, two starting goalies does not bid well often... Yes Minnesota had Manny and Rollie, but that was just two great personality goalies, mainly Manny for giving up so much time to Rollie...... Last the Sharks, have a great team, don't get me wrong.... But I don't think Jones can carry them to the playoffs... If he does... they are out in one.. But Stalock as his back up who will fight for number one. It could get into Jones head anytime he has an off game....

 

 

Its all just fun and prediction... Come December I might be off n EVERYTHING or hell Nothing,.... who knows

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