I think if recognition to Matthews is what is desired here, Yeah..., Matthews was having the best seasons of his young career. Fortunately he is young and will stay healthy to have many more great seasons. He may make a lot of records for the Leafs, and he could also have a career ending injury.... we won't know until they play the games. Will Matthews someday be the Best Maple Leaf Ever... maybe... if so... it is great for him.
IMO projections are just that, projections, they can be skewed to however you want the data to look by adding or removing variables. Stats are actual records of what is done. Projections can be helpful in planning for the future, but they can also lead to issues when circumstances beyond control change the actual results.
Awards are not handed out for projections, but chances are Matthews received some sort of MVP award.... right? ( I didn't look it up) If so then he can be compared to other MVP the Leaf's have have given awards to.
Was the 50 goal mark important to Matthews? Maybe, of course if it affected his compensation for a performance bonus as a goal, but then maybe MVP takes that place? Should he receive that bonus based upon projected stats? That is up to the Leaf's organization to determine but they've also lost a ton of money with this Virus so it sucks.... but so has it for everyone. Most of us haven't achieved what we projected to do this year.