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Paul McCann thinks the Preds will sign the offer sheet


Guest Pauliking
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The radio silence coming from 501 Broadway is complete. Ain’t no one talking… Same goes for the gang at 3601 Broad Street. The tea leaf reading going on in the media continues to be pretty funny. The fact that Nashville hasn’t responded yet is a good thing for the Flyers, no wait… it’s a bad thing for the Flyers… no, wait… It’s a good thing for Nashville, no, not really… it’s a bad thing.

Sheesh… do you want to know what Nashville’s lack of response really means???

That they haven’t responded yet... and that they have until approx. 11pm tomorrow to respond. That’s what it means, no more, no less.

Former Nashville sports anchor John Boruk tries to make the case on CSNPhilly.com that history is on Philly’s side because of the "Predator Way" … problem is, ownership has changed since John was last covering Nashville sports, things may be a tad different.

Flyers beat writer Sam Carchidi wrote in the Philadelphia Inquirer that the two GM’s have talked “just once” since the offer sheet was dropped. This has been interpreted as a sign that Nashville was matching the OS... or not matching the OS... or it is being interpreted as a sign of Armageddon.

Kevin Allen, in yesterday’s USA Today, avoids the crazed speculation and sticks to fact based analysis… rare in these times. Allen shows his real knowledge of the situation (and of the league) calling the Predators a “contending team.” He also makes the most reasoned economic argument I have seen in the mainstream media… that the contract, while tough for the first six years, turns VERY reasonable in the last eight. His most cogent analysis?

”Weber is 26 now, and it's impossible to know where his game will be at in 11 to 14 years. But Zdeno Chara is 35 and he is still a Norris-caliber defenseman. Nicklas Lidstrom was 42 when he retired and he was still probably among the league's top six defensemen.”

Thank heavens for Kevin, he is a voice of reason and knowledge in a world of uninformed speculation. You can read his entire piece here.

Some of the most interesting (and best) reporting on the whole offer sheet situation came from one of my favorite whipping boys… The Globe and Mail , only this time, they went to a GM, one with knowledge of the situation, Vancouver GM Mike Gillis. His take on this is fascinating… some selected quotes from yesterday’s report…

Gillis believed he would not be able to snag Weber with a long-term offer sheet, concluding that the Nashville Predators would match any proposed contract.

That is heartening news for Pred Nation if it turns out to be true, but here is the most telling quote…

“It was quite clear, at the end of the day, what the objectives were,” said Gillis. “To take advantage of the current system, and to maximize his economic return, which is absolutely fair, which he’s completely entitled to.”

That quote certainly puts the offer sheet, and Weber’s signing of it, in proper context. I know that Pred Nation is growing weary of the waiting, however David Poile’s patience is a double edged sword. While frustrating for the fan, his patience could play a significant role in the next 40 hours or so… and it could play into Nashville’s hands, especially after the Rick Nash trade.

If the speculation about a trade with Philadelphia is true, pressure may be increasing on Flyers GM Paul Holmgrem to make a deal as the Flyers hated rival just scored, and scored big. Holmgren may be tempted to offer to part with a few more assets to get the object of his desire, but that is only if Preds ownership swallow hard and not match. Something I still believe is unlikely.

The #WeberWatch continues, but only for another day or so

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The Professional Hockey Writers Association of America should send thank you notes to Holmgren for giving them a week's worth of content speculation in July.

So Nashville-based media / affiliations think the Preds will match, while Philly based media thinks they won't.

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The Professional Hockey Writers Association of America should send thank you notes to Holmgren for giving them a week's worth of content speculation in July. So Nashville-based media / affiliations think the Preds will match, while Philly based media thinks they won't.

Pretty much. I just want Weber.

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I think this is all nothing more than a big poker face.

Nashville would have already matched it if they were going to do so. They are just hoping against hope that Homer blinks before they do.

Somewhere Mike Richards & Jeff Carter (even though happy now) are saying, "Homer doesn't bluff."

And the Nash trade doesn't make the Flyers need to increase their potential trade offer at all - if anything, it shows them that the going rate is less than expected.

I still think a trade will get worked out afterward to get 2 or 3 or the Flyers #1 picks back, but Weber is going to be a Flyer.

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Somewhere Richards & Carter are saying "14 years... I bet he goes three before getting traded"

Yeah, but the back end of the contract almost guarantees that there would be no reason to trade him.

Win-win!

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I think this is all nothing more than a big poker face.

Somewhere Mike Richards & Jeff Carter (even though happy now) are saying, "Homer doesn't bluff."

I still think a trade will get worked out afterward to get 2 or 3 or the Flyers #1 picks back, but Weber is going to be a Flyer.

LOL good one. You make a lot of sense though. this waiting game might be Nashville's attempt at a bluff of their own in order to try to get the trade they want tomorrow at 11:25pm.

Nashville basically has two choices: Lose your two best players, rebuild and save your franchise with a million and six draft picks or Sign your best player, lose your second best player (Suter's already gone) bankrupt your franchise and watch them get moved to Kansas City or Quebec.

It's a no brainer. They weren't keeping Weber next year. This way at least they get 4 draft picks out of it... and maybe, just maybe they talk Homer into a trade at the last minute to get more of what they want. They really have no choice. if they sign him, they're finished.

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LOL good one. You make a lot of sense though. this waiting game might be Nashville's attempt at a bluff of their own in order to try to get the trade they want tomorrow at 11:25pm.

Nashville basically has two choices: Lose your two best players, rebuild and save your franchise with a million and six draft picks or Sign your best player, lose your second best player (Suter's already gone) bankrupt your franchise and watch them get moved to Kansas City or Quebec.

It's a no brainer. They weren't keeping Weber next year. This way at least they get 4 draft picks out of it... and maybe, just maybe they talk Homer into a trade at the last minute to get more of what they want. They really have no choice. if they sign him, they're finished.

I think that the 4 #1's would actually be the best deal for both teams. (A good GM could do a lot with 4 extra #1 picks, even low ones.)

But I think he will flinch and look to save face in the short term by accepting a package of NHL-ready players (Mez, Bourdon, Jake, & picks).

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