Yeah, I tend to agree. I don't know the Capitals' cap situation, but I can't imagine they would find the way to keep Holtby. Perhaps exactly *because* they feel Samsonov is ready, they signed Backstrom to this deal, which, in my mind, is a bit inflated. But like you said, this deal reflects more on his current value as opposed to the future.
Saw an interesting discussion on TSN (via YouTube) about "the $10M goalie" - gonna start a thread on it
Basically, with all the steps they have taken to increase scoring the value of the goalie has dropped considerably.
The two $10M cap hit goalies (Price, Bobrovsky) have 2.87/.907 (Price) and 3.29/.896 (Bob). Their teams are 7 points (MTL) and 1 point (FLA) out of the Wild Card spot.
Of the $5M+ goalies, it could be argued that only Rask (2.27/.925) and Helle