Chicago has played alright, and the Oilers defense definitely tightened up after game one. The problem has been that Edmonton continually puts itself in a position where they have to kill of 6 or 7 PP per game. Tough to win like that.
I honestly don't know that the Oilers are better. Better top talent? yeah. But I think the Hawks are deeper 5-12 up front and I don't like the Oilers D corps a little bit. The Hawks actually played more on the right side of the ice than the Oilers in general over the course of the season. If it wasn't for McDavid and Draisaitl dragging that team around all season, nobody gives them a shot.
When the NHL paused its season because of COVID on March 12, the Chicago Blackhawks were sitting six points out of a playoff spot with four teams to overcome and just 12 games remaining. That’s dead-in-the-water territory right there. Any resemblance between these Blackhawks and the team that won multiple Stanley Cups leading up to 2015 is purely coincidental. The Blackhawks essentially admitted as much when they were significant sellers at the trade deadline, dealing defenseman Erik Gustafsson
It's a short series, and if Kane comes out and absolutely rips it up, Chicago could win. Realistically though, for them to have a chance, Corey Crawford has to play, because as of right now Malcolm Subban is the starter. The Hawks are an awful team, defensively, and it's difficult to see him standing up very well to McDavid/Nugent-Hopkins and Draisaitl/Yamamoto.
And, no matter if Crawford plays, if the Hawks take a lot of penalties, then it's all done. The 2020 Oilers have a ridiculo