Howie58

Errson is not looking sharp. Defensive lapses don't help. 

I am glad Tippett is on. His teammates don't look sharp. Sad.

Torts must have sent some clear signals between periods.

The Flyers are not looking good.  

Well. we are off to a lousy start.  A breakaway score and a dumb penalty by Frost.  

The ice looks like crap.  The announcers said they feel like they're in Hoboken, that's how far away they are.  Yikes. 

Greetings:

The O and B are underdogs (+135) despite the better record:

https://www.lines.com/nhl/predictions/flyers-vs-devils-over-under-feb-17-2024

Over the last 10 games going back to 2021, the series is tied 5-5.  The two games this year have gone to OT.  Statistically, they are better offensively, we are better defensively; otherwise, family similar save for the PP:

https://www.nhl.com/gamecenter/njd-vs-phi/2024/02/17/2023020859

Officially, we are the away team, but that should be to our advantage given the season's body of work.  I agree with this bookie that this will probably be low-scoring with a Flyers win:

https://www.northjersey.com/story/sports/nhl/2024/02/16/nj-devils-flyers-nhl-stadium-series-2024-betting-odds-picks/72613877007/

LGF!

This says the team has taken on the character to grow and win. It also tells me Laughton isn't likely to move this year.

Greetings:

Toronto is favored (-185); despite the Flyers having a better overall record (perhaps reflecting a tougher Atlantic Division).  The bookies may consider that we are on a six-game losing streak against them, and a 1-5 streak in Toronto:

https://www.oddsshark.com/nhl/philadelphia-toronto-odds-february-15-2024-2021718

Toronto thumps us on faceoffs, the PP, and offense:

https://www.nhl.com/gamecenter/phi-vs-tor/2024/02/15/2023020843

It's interesting that we're through a good chunk of the season and haven't played the first of three games in the series.  This is a good test against a team that has given us a lot of problems in recent years, particularly in their house.  We better not open the game with dumb penalties, per Arizona.  It might be nice if we scored on the PP.  

There will be games you play well, and end up losing.  And the reverse is true.  We had one very good period--the third.  We snatched victory from the jaws of mediocrity.  The game against Toronto is a real benchmark.  That should be interesting.  

If their PP were competent, this might have been a sleepwalk.  On to Toronto.

Really dumb penalties. Arizona looks hungrier. Frost's beauty was wasted. 

Torts will be chewing asses out between periods. We need to wake up and stop taking dumb penalties!

4 hours ago, GratefulFlyers said:

I’m expecting wins at this point especially against <.500 teams. But at home it’s still a little iffy…and it’d be just like the Flyers to give one away to the Coyotes… at least the old Flyers. I’m fairly sure they’re the new Flyers now.

At some point you expect a stink bomb squad to play over over heads for at least one game. Clayton Keller plays in obscurity out in the desert but seems to be a good player.  Meanwhile, it looks like we are doing the 12-6 gig with Ersson in goal:

https://www.msn.com/en-us/sports/nhl/arizona-coyotes-vs-philadelphia-flyers-projected-lineups-nhl-starting-goalies-for-today-12th-february-2024/ar-BB1i9XvN

Greetings:

We are actually the favorite for a change (-146) against a team that's lost 5 of their last 6, is awful on the road....and we've beaten 4 of the last 5:

Arizona Coyotes vs Philadelphia Flyers Odds - Monday February 12 2024 (oddsshark.com)

There isn't much difference between these teams statistically:

https://www.nhl.com/gamecenter/ari-vs-phi/2024/02/12/2023020821

The question is whether this becomes a trap game because Arizona is due for an above-average performance.  

19 minutes ago, OccamsRazor said:

 

 

 

Occ:

Is this your happy dance? 

Well, Petersen's save percentage after 2 is nearly .950. Are the shots softers or is he playing well?

51 minutes ago, GratefulFlyers said:

sigh…well I guess it had to happen sooner or later. Maybe it’s good this one won’t be televised. Looks like I’ll be searching for streaming links again.

His numbers at LVH aren't much different than Sandstrom's. Is it Cal or the team? I hope Cal plays well. The dude is not in a good career space. 

Well, Cal Petersen to start. That is a twist.

It's interesting how the bookies view this game. Statistically, they have a better power play, but overall, they are a toss-up. We have more wins and home ice advantage. Would I make us heavy favorites: no?  But I sense the sports books (I hate that term) still view us as a fluke 50+ games into the season. Maybe we're better off this way as a motivator. Or do they see something we don't?

I am out-of-town and communication. I'll look forward to your take. 

Greetings:

The bookies seem torn on this one, with a virtual dead heat on odds.  That seems strange given their records (a bit disrespectful of the Flyers).  

Seattle beat us in OT, 2-1 in December.  

This is a streaming game.

Key to Flyers Success Past Two Games: I haven't watched other than highlights. Maybe I should stay away.

Greetings:

The Flyers are underdogs (+119) against a Jets team that has been offensively challenged of late.

https://sportsbookwire.usatoday.com/article/winnipeg-jets-vs-philadelphia-flyers-odds-tips-and-betting-trends-5/

The teams are fairly even on the stat front, but Winnipeg is the top defense:

https://www.nhl.com/gamecenter/phi-vs-wpg/2024/02/08/2023020797

We beat them 2-0 in January.  

Meanwhile, here is the lineup:

https://phillysportsnetwork.com/2024/02/08/flyers-vs-jets-020824/

We are going 11-7. I guess they want Risto in to get some beef in the lineup.  Cam Atkinson on the first.  No real 4th line...which is not saying much.  

What scouts are present?

Heck, I only watched the last 10 minutes. The bookies were off on this one--Flyers win and half the predicted goals.  Go figure. 

I hope it is respectable and enjoyable.  That hasn't been the case of late.

Greetings:

Florida is heavily favored (-210) and the bookies say this will be high scoring:

https://www.lines.com/nhl/predictions/flyers-vs-panthers-over-under-feb-6-2024

The tale of the tape says we better not go to the sin bin too often:

https://www.nhl.com/gamecenter/fla-vs-phi/2024/02/06/2023020786

The home team has a big advantage in this series, and we have lost our last three in Sunrise:

https://flyershistory.com/cgi-bin/opponent.cgi?Florida_Panthers

I wonder if someone will announce the scouts present as we approach March 8th.  This is the first of three games against the Stanley Cup runner-up that is playing great hockey.  Breaking the losing streak will be a challenge.  

I wonder if Petersen is a buyout candidate next year? Meanwhile, he might turn into a decent back up. I understand the view that overpaying at the trade deadline may hurt the team long-term.  If the team's  play mirrors what we've seen the last five games, Parent or Leighton in their primes wouldn't make much difference.